UConn vs. Alabama odds, score prediction, time: 2024 NCAA Tournament Final Four best bets by proven model

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The No. 1 seed UConn Huskies and the No. 4 seed Alabama Crimson Tide link up in the Final Four of the 2024 NCAA Tournament on Saturday. The winner of this matchup squares off against either NC State or Purdue in the national tile game on Monday evening. In the Elite Eight, the Huskies rolled past Illinois 77-52. On the flip side, Alabama got past Clemson 89-82.

Tipoff from the State Farm Stadium in Arizona is set for 8:49 p.m. ET. The Huskies are 12-point favorites in the latest Alabama vs. UConn odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 160.5, down a point from the opening line. Before making any UConn vs. Alabama picks, you need to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every Div. I college basketball game 10,000 times. It entered the Sweet 16 round of the 2024 NCAA tournament on a 152-109 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $1,800 for $100 players. It also has a strong 32-21 (+890) record on top-rated spread picks this season, and its bracket picks rank in the 92nd percentile among all CBS Sports Bracket Challenge entries so far in 2024. Anyone following has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Connecticut vs. Alabama and just locked in its Final Four predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are several college basketball betting lines and trends for Alabama vs. Connecticut:

  • UConn vs. Alabama spread: Huskies -12
  • UConn vs. Alabama over/under: 160.5 points
  • UConn vs. Alabama money line: Huskies -729, Crimson Tide +504
  • UCONN: 17-5 ATS this season in road or neutral games
  • BAMA: 22-14 ATS this season 
  • UConn vs. Alabama picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Alabama can cover

Senior forward Grant Nelson provides Alabama with a two-way presence in the frontcourt. Nelson has the range to knock down outside shots but owns the length to be disruptive in the paint. He logs 11.7 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.6 blocks per game. On March 28 against North Carolina, Nelson had 24 points, 12 boards and five blocks.

Sophomore guard Rylan Griffen gives the squad a smooth 3-and-D player. Griffen threatens the defense from the perimeter while being a pestering defender. The Texas native averages 11.3 points, 3.5 rebounds and shoots 39% from beyond the arc. In his last outing, Griffen had 13 points, eight assists and made three 3-pointers. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

Why UConn can cover

Senior guard Tristen Newton continues to impact the game in many different areas. Newton scans the floor in a hurry to get his teammates involved while being a productive offensive force. He leads the team in scoring (15) and assists (6.1) with 6.7 rebounds per game. On Mar. 24 versus Northwestern, Newton finished with 20 points and 10 assists.

Sophomore center Donovan Clingan overpowers opposing players in the lane. Clingan sets powerful screens and uses his soft touch around the basket. The Connecticut native puts up 12.9 points, 7.5 rebounds and shoots 64% from the floor. In the win over Illinois, Clingan dropped a double-double of 22 points, 10 boards and five blocks. See which team to back at SportsLine. 

How to make UConn vs. Alabama picks

SportsLine’s model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 162 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in nearly 60% of simulations. You can only see the picks at SportsLine. 

So who wins Alabama vs. UConn, and which side of the spread hits nearly 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 152-109 roll on its top-rated college basketball picks, and find out.

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