The Week 1 NFL schedule includes four games in which one team is favored by at least five points. Those four favorites are likely to draw plenty of attention for NFL survivor picks. However, at least 20% of players have been eliminated by their Week 1 of NFL knockout pool picks the last four seasons, typically a result of big upsets. Does that mean you should avoid teams like the Bengals (-9) and Bills (-5.5) as you make your Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks?
A winning NFL survivor pool strategy is all about figuring out when to use a team or when to save them. How can you avoid an embarrassing Week 1 exit but make sure you’re not burning teams that may come in handy later in the season if you’re making a deep run? Before finalizing any Week 1 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds and locked in its Week 1 survivor pool pick. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.
Top Week 1 NFL survivor pool predictions
In Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Miami Dolphins, even though they’re coming off an 11-6 season and are favored over a Jaguars team that went 9-8 and missed the playoffs. Both of these Florida franchises finished with winning records in 2023, but are coming off disappointing finishes, with Jacksonville losing five of six to miss the playoffs and Miami falling to the Chiefs in frigid conditions at Arrowhead Stadium during NFL Wild Card Weekend.
Typically the heat and humidity might be an advantage of the Dolphins early in the season, but the Jaguars also experience plenty of both this time of year. Meanwhile, there are six games on the Week 1 NFL schedule with a larger favorite than Miami. Add in the fact that Trevor Lawrence bested Tua Tagovailoa in their first head-to-head meeting in 2021 and the model is understandably fading the Dolphins as a Week 1 NFL survivor pool pick. See which team to pick here.
How to make Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks
Instead, the model is backing a surprising home team that wins outright in almost 80% of simulations. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.
Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 1 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 1, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL and is up well over $7,000 since its inception.
