There have been several recent Kentucky Derby trends as we enter the 150th Kentucky Derby on Saturday. From 2009-12, the favorite went 0-for-4, but then followed up by winning all six years from 2013-18. The current streak entering the 2024 Kentucky Derby is another winless one for favorites, who have winless in five straight years. However, the favorite has hit the board in 12 straight years, dating back to 2012 entering the Kentucky Derby 2024. Fierceness is 5-2 in the 2024 Kentucky Derby betting odds, followed by Sierra Leone at 3-1. Which Kentucky Derby betting trends should you take into account?
The 2024 Kentucky Derby post time is 6:57 p.m. ET. With so much to consider while making your 2024 Kentucky Derby picks, a little expert help can go a long way.
T O Password and Forever Young are slated to become the fifth and sixth Japan-bred starters in Kentucky Derby history on Saturday. All six are descendants of the Kentucky-born Sunday Silence. The winner of the 1989 Kentucky Derby and Preakness, Sunday Silence attracted little attention by U.S. breeders upon his retirement and was exported to Japan, where his stud career took off. He would be named the Leading Sire in Japan for a record 13 straight years from 1995 to 2007, despite passing away in 2002. He would later be named the Leading Broodmare Sire in North America for three years (2016, 2019, 2020). Of Sunday Silence’s four previous Japan-bred descendants to race in the Kentucky Derby, none has finished in better than sixth place.
Given all the history, there’s a method to picking which horses to focus on for exacta, trifecta and superfecta bets in a Kentucky Derby like this, and SportsLine expert Jody Demling knows what it is. He can help you make the best 2024 Kentucky Derby picks possible.
A fixture in the horse racing world who has been writing about, talking about and betting on races for years, Demling enters the 2024 Kentucky Derby having nailed the winner of the Belmont Stakes four of the last six years, including an exacta in 2022 with Mo Donegal and Nest. He also called Flightline’s win at the Breeders’ Cup Classic in November of that year.
Demling is at his best in the biggest horse races in the world like the Kentucky Derby 2024. In fact, he has hit 10 of the last 15 Derby-Oaks doubles at Churchill Downs. That means he held a ticket with the winners of both races all but five times in the last 15 years.
He’s also called 10 of the last 19 Preakness winners, including nailing his Preakness winner, exacta and superfecta picks in 2023, keenly understanding when the Kentucky Derby winner was poised for victory or a massive upset. Anyone who has followed him is up huge. Now, he’s sharing all of his 2024 Kentucky Derby bets here.
Top 2024 Kentucky Derby expert picks
Here’s a refresher on these types of bets from SportsLine’s Jody Demling:
Kentucky Derby Exacta: Pick the first- and second-place finishers in the correct order. A $2 exacta returned $330.44 at the 2023 Kentucky Derby with Mage and Two Phil’s.
Kentucky Derby Trifecta: Pick the first-, second- and third-place finishers in the correct order. A $1 trifecta returned $982.36 at the 2023 Kentucky Derby with Mage, Two Phil’s and Angel of Empire.
Kentucky Derby Superfecta: Pick the first-, second-, third- and fourth-place finishers in the correct order. A $1 superfecta returned a colossal $15,643.65 at the 2023 Kentucky Derby with Mage, Two Phil’s, Angel of Empire and Disarm.
Demling is not taking Fierceness (5-2) to win this year, even though he’s the favorite. Instead, he is building his tickets around Sierra Leone and a massive double-digit longshot who “keeps getting better and better.” You can see his picks here.
How to make 2024 Kentucky Derby bets
Demling has specific recommendations for exacta, trifecta and superfecta wagers so you can cover all your bases at the Kentucky Derby 2024. He’s sharing them over at SportsLine.
So which horses do you take? And in what combinations? Visit SportsLine to get Demling’s picks for exacta, trifecta and superfecta bets for the 2024 Kentucky Derby.
