Fantasy Football Rankings 2024: Busts from top NFL model that predicted Jaylen Waddle's poor season



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Running back is still arguably the most important position in Fantasy football 2024, but many managers are opting for high-profile wide receivers early in drafts to help mitigate injury risk. If you’re going wide receiver-wide receiver in the first two rounds, you’re going to have to stock up on running backs in the middle and late rounds to build depth. That makes backups with a chance to ascend the 2024 Fantasy football RB rankings like Chase Brown, Rico Dowdle, Tyjae Spears and Jaleel McLaughlin attractive options later in drafts. With a reliable set of 2024 Fantasy football rankings, you can figure out which of those backs could be 2024 Fantasy football breakouts and which are 2024 Fantasy football busts. As you finalize your 2024 Fantasy football draft prep, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle would fail to live up to his Fantasy football ADP. Waddle’s 2023 Fantasy football ADP was 34.86 overall and he was the 11th receiver off the board on average. He’d go on to notch a 1,000-yard season but only had 72 receptions with four touchdowns and he’d finish as the No. 34 Fantasy football wide receiver in CBS Sports PPR leagues.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor’s monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it’s called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you’re always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest Fantasy football rankings 2024, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them. 

Top 2024 Fantasy football busts

One of the 2024 Fantasy football busts the model is predicting: Dolphins running back Raheem Mostert. He’s 32 now and that would generally be a cause for concern, but he was run very lightly in college (136 carries) and didn’t register more than 34 carries until his age-27 season. The bigger concerns here are De’Von Achane and touchdown dependency.

Mostert has his first 1,000-yard season and figures to be a big part of the Miami offense again in 2024 but his 21 scrimmage touchdowns last year (tied for the NFL lead) are clearly unsustainable. Meanwhile, it’s clear that Achane is the more explosive back when he’s healthy and the desire to get Achane touches will impact Mostert’s overall productivity at some point. Those are big reasons why the model prefers Zack Moss and Rhamondre Stevenson, who are being drafted two rounds later on average.

Another bust that SportsLine’s Fantasy football rankings 2024 have identified: Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford. He averaged 264.3 passing yards and 16.9 Fantasy points per game last season, finishing as the QB14 in Fantasy. His owners relied heavily on his yards per attempt (ninth), as he was outside the top 20 in adjusted completion rate and Fantasy points per dropback.

Stafford is entering his age-36 season and has been interception-prone, so he has a shaky outlook compared to other quarterbacks going off the board at a similar ADP. He also offers zero rushing upside, which is an increasingly important factor in Fantasy football. The model has him ranked outside the top 20 at his position, suggesting that you should look elsewhere for your Fantasy quarterback. See which other Fantasy football busts 2024 to avoid here.

How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football rankings

SportsLine is also low on a wide receiver who is being drafted as a top-15 player at his position. The model ranks him outside its top 20 wide receivers for 2024 and expects him to see major regression. You can only see who it is, and the 2024 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2024 Fantasy Football busts should you avoid, and which receiver will fail to live up to expectations? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that told you to avoid Jaylen Waddle in 2023, and find out.





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