Since the 2020 season, the Under has hit in 68.6% of Giants games, nearly 10% more often than any other team. The Under is off to a 4-0 start for New York this year with only 144 total points scored, making that side potentially appealing for Week 5 NFL picks as the Giants head to Seattle on Sunday. New York’s bottom-five scoring offense and both teams ranking in the top half of the league in scoring defense could help you believe that the Week 5 NFL odds of 43.5 total points for this game won’t be reached. The over-under has fallen a full point after opening at 44.5.
However, the Over is 3-1 for the Seahawks this season, and Seattle just allowed 42 points in a game that sailed over. Granted, the Giants won’t be confused for the Detroit Lions, but NFL bettors should be mindful with their Week 5 NFL over-unders that New York’s offense could produce better than expected against a weary Seahawks defense. Before you make any Week 5 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 5 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 188-131 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 42-23 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022. It’s also 8-5 on top-rated over/under picks since the start of that season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it for NFL betting is way up.
Now, the model has scoured the Week 5 NFL odds and locked in five confident NFL over/under best bets. If you successfully parlay its picks, you’d be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model’s Week 5 NFL total picks at SportsLine.
Top Week 5 NFL total picks
One part of the five-line NFL totals parlay we can reveal: The model says the Over (49.5) hits in Ravens vs. Bengals. These AFC North rivals played each other four times during the 2023 calendar year. All four matchups went over, notably the two divisional contests from last season. The one in Cincinnati saw 51 points scored, eclipsing the over-under of 45.5, and the matchup in Baltimore saw 54 combined points, going over 46.5.
The success of the Over stretches beyond 2023 for these fierce rivals, as seven of the last 10 meetings, both regular and postseason, have gone over. In 2024, Cincinnati has seen its last three games go over the point total, while Baltimore saw its first three go over. Its most recent matchup with Buffalo would have likely as well had the Ravens not pulled their starters with a big lead. The model recognizes the overwhelming trends in this matchup and has the Over hitting nearly 60% of the time, projecting 55 combined points. See which other NFL over/under parlay picks to make here.
How to parlay Week 5 NFL over/unders
The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the over-under is way off, including an A-rated pick that hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the model’s Week 5 NFL best bets and over/under parlay picks at SportsLine.
So how many points are scored in each game, and which over-unders should you include for a strong 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 5 NFL total picks from a model on an 188-131 run on top-rated picks, and find out.
