2024 Scottish Open odds, picks, field: Surprising predictions from golf model that's nailed 13 majors



viktor hovland golf getty images

Golf returns to the Renaissance Club for the 2024 Scottish Open beginning on Thursday. The first tee times come at 2 a.m. ET. The mid-July event has been held at the North Berwick, Scotland locale since 2019, and it is scheduled to hold the final tune-up before the Open Championship through 2026. Rory McIlroy is the defending champion heading into the Genesis Scottish Open 2024, and this will be his first start since he had to settle for the runner-up spot at the U.S. Open last month. He is the 7-1 favorite in the latest 2024 Scottish Open odds.

Scottish Open 2022 winner Xander Schauffele is next on the PGA odds board at 8-1, followed by Collin Morikawa at 12-1 and Ludvig Aberg at 14-1. Viktor Hovland, who is still looking for his first win on the season, is 20-1. Before locking in your 2024 Scottish Open picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up well over $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 13 majors entering the weekend, including the 2024 Masters — its third Masters in a row — and this year’s PGA Championship and U.S. Open. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns. 

Now with the 2024 Scottish Open field locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 Scottish Open predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the Scottish Open 2024: Hovland, the reigning FedEx Cup champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles and doesn’t even crack the top 10. Hovland has managed to secure just one top-10 finish this season, a T-3 showing at the PGA Championship in May. 

Hovland’s struggles can be directly attributed to his inability to score. Despite ranking inside the top 10 in strokes gained: off the tee (0.671) and putting average (1.712), Hovland has a scoring average of 70.38 this season, which ranks 107th on the PGA Tour. He’s also finished T-25 or worse in each of his last two starts at the Scottish Open, which doesn’t bode well for Hovland’s chances to finish on top of the leaderboard. See who else to fade here.

Another surprise: Corey Conners, a massive 45-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 32-year-old has made all of his cuts this season and has two top-10 finishes in his last four starts. That includes a T9 at the U.S. Open, where the Canadian opened up the tournament shooting a 69 in the first round.

Conners finished 19th at the 2023 Scottish Open, but his current form suggests he could finish higher on the leaderboard. He ranks fourth on the PGA Tour in strokes gained: approach to green (0.854) and seventh in green in regulation percentage (70.90%). Since the pros will need a very sharp short game to be successful at the Renaissance Club, Conners should have a strong showing at the Scottish Open 2024. See who else to back here. 

How to make 2024 Scottish Open picks

The model is targeting five other golfers in listed at 35-1 or higher in outright bets, including one massive triple-digit longshot. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Who will win the 2024 Scottish Open, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the Scottish Open 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Scottish Open leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 13 golf majors, including the last three Masters and all three majors this year.

2024 Scottish Open odds, top contenders 

Get full 2024 Scottish Open picks, best bets and predictions here.

Rory McIlroy +700
Xander Schauffele +800
Collin Morikawa +1200
Ludvig Åberg +1400
Viktor Hovland +2000
Tommy Fleetwood +2200
Min Woo Lee +2500
Tom Kim +2500
Hideki Matsuyama +3000
Justin Thomas +3500
Robert MacIntyre +4000
Matt Fitzpatrick +4000
Corey Conners +4500
Sungjae Im +4500
Wyndham Clark +5000
Sahith Theegala +5000
Byeong Hun An +5500
Brian Harman +5500
Max Homa +5500
Aaron Rai +5500
Jordan Spieth +6000
Sepp Straka +6000
Davis Thompson +6500
Si Woo Kim +7000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +7500
Adam Scott +8000
Thomas Detry +8000
Tom Hoge +8000
Erik Van Rooyen +9000
Keith Mitchell +9000
Will Zalatoris +9000
Ryan Fox +9000
Billy Horschel +9000
Nicolai Højgaard +9000
Tom Mckibbin +9000
Denny McCarthy +10000
Alex Noren +10000
Rasmus Højgaard +11000
Harris English +11000
Jordan Smith +11000
Ewen Ferguson +11000
Victor Perez +12000
Rickie Fowler +12000
Matthieu Pavon +12000
Matt Wallace +12000
Adam Hadwin +12000
Keita Nakajima +12000
Kurt Kitayama +12000
Bernd Wiesberger +15000
Kevin Yu +15000
Mackenzie Hughes +15000
Justin Rose +15000
Ben Griffin +15000
Taylor Moore +15000





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