2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that's nailed 11 majors

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The 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson might be a new name on the PGA Tour schedule but the tournament has one of the richest histories in golf. It was first played in 1944 as the Texas Victory Open and it’s been the namesake tournament for 52-time PGA Tour winner and five-time major champion Byron Nelson since 1968. Jason Day ended a five-year winless streak to capture his second win in the Byron Nelson and now he’ll set his sights on a third this weekend at TPC Craig Ranch when play begins on Thursday. 

Day is listed at 18-1 in the 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson odds while Jordan Spieth is the 12-1 favorite after finishing top 10 in his last two starts in this event. Other 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson contenders include Si Woo Kim (22-1), Adam Scott (25-1), Alex Noren (25-1) and Sungjae Im (25-1). Before making any 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure’s model correctly predicted Scottie Scheffler would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the Players Championship, and the RBC Heritage this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure’s best bets returned nearly $1,000.

The model also predicted Jon Rahm would be victorious at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm’s second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scheffler winning in 2022.

In addition, McClure’s best bets included Nick Taylor (70-1) winning the 2023 RBC Canadian Open, Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.

This same model has also nailed a whopping 11 majors entering the weekend and hit the Masters three straight years. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the CJ Cup Byron Nelson 2024 field is finalized, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the CJ Cup Byron Nelson 2024: Day, the defending champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles and barely cracks the top five. Day got off to a hot start this season when he posted three top-10 finishes in his first five tournaments, but he has struggled since then. He has finished outside the top 15 in his last five events, including a missed cut at the Texas Children’s Houston Open at the end of March. 

Day ranks 183rd on the PGA Tour in approach shots from more than 200 yards, which will be a shot that he has to take throughout this tournament. He is also ranked 133rd in green in regulation percentage (63.62%) and 152nd in strokes gained: approach to green (-0.380). Day is not in strong form right now, so the model is looking elsewhere with its pick to win this tournament. 

Another surprise: Stephan Jaeger, a 30-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 34-year-old German is currently ranked No. 43 in the Official World Golf Ranking after scoring his first PGA Tour victory earlier this year at the Texas Children’s Houston Open.

That victory earned him an appearance in the 2024 Masters (his first) and it was his third finish of T-3 or better already this season. Jaeger is coming off a T-18 at the RBC Heritage and he was T-11 in the Byron Nelson last year. He ranks 17th in the FedEx Cup standings entering the week and he’s 15th on tour this season in total strokes gained (0.957). See who else to pick here. 

How to make 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson picks

The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 28-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.

Who will win the 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the CJ Cup Byron Nelson 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected CJ Cup Byron Nelson leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 11 golf majors, including the last three Masters.

2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson odds, field

Get full 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Jordan Spieth +1200
Jason Day +1800
Si Woo Kim +2200
Sungjae Im +2500
Alex Noren +2500
Adam Scott +2500
Tom Hoge +2800
Min Woo Lee +2800
Byeong Hun An +3000
Stephan Jaeger +3000
Keith Mitchell +3500
Tom Kim +4000
Thomas Detry +4500
Patrick Rodgers +5000
Maverick McNealy +5000
Mackenzie Hughes +5500
Adam Schenk +5500
Aaron Rai +6000
Beau Hossler +6000
K.H. Lee +6000
Davis Thompson +6500
Taylor Montgomery +6500
Seamus Power +7000
Mark Hubbard +7000
Luke List +7500
Doug Ghim +8000
Ryan Fox +8000
Kevin Yu +8000
Ben Griffin +8000
Jake Knapp +9000
Taylor Pendrith +9000
Daniel Berger +9000
Thorbjorn Olesen +9000
C.T. Pan +10000
Alejandro Tosti +10000
Matt Kuchar +10000
Sam Stevens +10000
Nate Lashley +10000
Peter Kuest +10000
Chan Kim +10000
Joseph Bramlett +10000
Michael Kim +11000
Greyson Sigg +11000
Andrew Novak +11000
Matti Schmid +11000
Justin Lower +11000
Max Greyserman +11000
Chesson Hadley +11000
Cameron Champ +11000
Charley Hoffman +11000
Garrick Higgo +11000

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